Last week, China's Ministry of Commerce published document 'announcement No. 62 of 2025', which has upset the precarious tariff truce with the US. This announcement detailed stringent new curbs on rare earth exports, tightening China's control over global supply and showcasing Beijing's leverage in the ongoing trade conflict.
China boasts a near-monopoly on rare earth processing, essential for products ranging from smartphones to military jets. The new regulations require foreign companies to obtain government approval for exporting products containing any amount of rare earths, mandating detailed disclosure of their intended use.
Following the announcement, President Trump threatened to impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods and introduce new export controls on pivotal software. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent remarked that China has positioned itself aggressively against the global supply chain.
China responded, stating that the US had unnecessarily escalated concerns over the new restrictions. They reassured that compliant export license applications would be approved, but tensions continued to mount with new port fees imposed by both nations.
Looking ahead, the anticipated meeting between Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping could be crucial, with analysts suggesting the recent restrictions provide China a tactical advantage. The potential disruptions to supply chains could lead to significant economic repercussions for the US.
Experts highlight that, while the restrictions might provoke short-term challenges for the US, Washington still holds strategic options. They can negotiate tariff reductions to ease pressure on its manufacturers, but with China developing its economy with minimal reliance on rare earth exports, their strategic value is immense for negotiations.
As the trade war unfolds, this latest flare-up marks the end of a calm period and the beginning of renewed tensions, signaling uncertain times ahead for international trade.
