Carney Walks Away from Trump Deal, Signals Utmost Test for Canada


Mark Carney stands in profile

The United States and Canada have entered into uncharted territory. The longtime allies and economic partners, who have enjoyed free trade for decades, are now in an escalating trade war with no clear off ramp.


Prime Minister Mark Carney chose to walk away from the negotiating table with the White House after the Trump administration proposed new tariffs. Carney calls the fresh tariffs a miscalculation designed to hurt and divide, and argues the US is engaging in a power play.


Canada now faces a cost: more pressure from US duties and Canadian counter‑tariffs. Roughly 70% of Canadian exports go to the United States, making certain American states particularly exposed.


Public opinion reflects a willingness to fight: a recent Abacus Data survey found 36% of Canadians would support retaliation, while a Leger poll shows 56% want a hard line.


The decision also causes direct losses in tourism and alcohol sales. US wine exports to Canada fell 78% year over year, a $357 million loss, and Canadian provinces have banned US spirits.


Carney must convince provinces, many of which have been less affected, that walking away is worth it. Premier David Eby of British Columbia said he is committed to the national project, while Ontario Premier Doug Ford pledged to win this fight.


The collapse of the tentative deal raises doubts about future negotiations, including the US‑Mexico‑Canada free trade pact. Canada must now await a response from the Trump administration.