The inquiry highlighted that just prior to the calamity, a young deckhand, in an apparent lapse of judgment, opted to share footage of the approaching storm on social media instead of alerting the captain promptly. This decision delayed critical safety actions, prompting an emergency scenario where both crew and passengers found themselves scrambling for survival as water surged into the yacht.

Captain Andrew Moll of the Marine Accident Investigation Branch stated, “The extreme wind encountered by Bayesian was sufficient enough to push the yacht to capsize.” The investigation further noted that once the boat heeled beyond a 70-degree angle, the situation became dire and irretrievable for those aboard.

The Bayesian’s design curvature was also scrutinized, with its prominent single mast identified as a major factor that increased the risk of capsizing during severe weather conditions. Previous reports from The New York Times corroborated these findings, classifying the Bayesian as atypical in its category; most yachts produced by its manufacturer are equipped with two masts, enhancing stability.

The manufacturers previously asserted that with appropriate management, the Bayesian was “unsinkable.” However, external maritime experts have raised substantial concerns regarding the vessel's stability, claiming its ballast and overall structure presented questionable integrity in harsh weather scenarios.

As investigations continue into this maritime tragedy, the findings call attention to the critical need for improved safety protocols and design evaluations in high-stakes marine environments.