Iran's Miscalculation Precedes Israeli Strikes: Insights from Senior Officials

Sat Jun 14 2025 22:05:15 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Iran's Miscalculation Precedes Israeli Strikes: Insights from Senior Officials

Iranian officials misjudged Israel’s intent, leading to significant losses during recent military attacks.


Interviews with Iranian leaders reveal a catastrophic miscalculation regarding Israel's military strategy, ultimately resulting in widespread damage and fatalities in Iran due to a sudden airstrike.


Iran's senior leadership was supposedly well-prepared for a possible Israeli attack following stalled nuclear negotiations with the United States. However, they failed to anticipate a preemptive strike by Israel before an expected round of talks, set for Sunday in Oman. Interviews with multiple senior Iranian officials and members of the Revolutionary Guards, who spoke on condition of anonymity, highlight that this miscalculation stemmed from underestimating Israeli intentions, viewing predictions of imminent military action as mere propaganda to extract concessions.

Due to this overconfidence, precautionary measures were abandoned. On the night of Israel’s attack, military high-ranking officials, including Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh of the Revolutionary Guards, did not seek shelter in safe locations. Instead, they disregarded safety directives and gathered together at a military installation in Tehran. This resulted in fatal consequences when Israel targeted the base.

By Friday evening, the Iranian government was just beginning to comprehend the full scale of damage inflicted by Israel's multifaceted airstrikes, which commenced in the early morning hours. Reports showed that at least 15 different sites across Iran—including major cities such as Isfahan, Tabriz, and Qom—were hit, leading to both infrastructural destruction and significant casualties among military leaders. The implications of these strikes are still unfolding, as regional tensions continue to escalate.

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