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Russian President Vladimir Putin has adopted an increasingly hardline tone toward the West, yet officials say he aims to sidestep a direct clash with NATO.

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Western diplomats, who asked to remain anonymous, note that Moscow has repeatedly threatened to strike UK forces or military factories, a move that fits Russia’s doctrine of pressure against the West.

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Officials point out that fierce rhetoric currently masks domestic pressure on Putin, as the slow progress of the Ukraine invasion and costly losses weigh on Russian morale.

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Despite warning statements, NATO allies are urged to stay calm but alert, while Russia is believed to continue hybrid tactics such as cyberattacks, sabotage and drone strikes aimed at undermining Western resolve.

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Recent incidents—including a drone loaded with explosives arriving at Leipzig airport—illustrate the escalating hybrid assault, prompting calls for preparedness among European allies.

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