Poland's Presidential Election Declared Too Close to Call, Exit Polls Reveal

Fri Aug 15 2025 14:16:14 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Poland's Presidential Election Declared Too Close to Call, Exit Polls Reveal

Amidst a highly contentious atmosphere, exit polls indicate a razor-thin lead for Rafal Trzaskowski in Poland's presidential race.


As exit polls suggest a neck-and-neck race in Poland's presidential election, liberal candidate Rafal Trzaskowski has claimed electoral victory, albeit with a margin that falls within the margin of error. The polls show him at 50.3% and conservative candidate Karol Nawrocki at 49.7%. Official results are expected on Monday.



Warsaw’s liberal mayor, Rafal Trzaskowski, addressed his supporters, exclaiming victory despite the exit poll showing a tight race. Trzaskowski's percentage of 50.3%, compared to his conservative opponent Karol Nawrocki's 49.7%, is merely within a 3% margin of error, leading both candidates to maintain their respective hopes for victory. “We won,” proclaimed Trzaskowski as he acknowledged the narrowness of the race, stating, “the phrase 'razor's edge' will forever enter the Polish language and politics.” Meanwhile, Nawrocki, supported by the Law and Justice (PiS) party, encouraged his followers, declaring the night was still open for potential victory.

The state electoral commission has promised an official result by Monday morning. Although the presidential role carries limited power over foreign affairs and primarily serves ceremonial functions, the incoming president can veto legislation, influencing critical government policy amid a coalition led by Prime Minister Donald Tusk, who is seeking to fulfill campaign promises hampered by the current conservative president, Andrzej Duda.

If Trzaskowski's win is validated, it could facilitate Tusk's agenda, aiming to steer Poland further into the European mainstream. Trzaskowski’s support base mainly includes left-liberal, urban voters who favor modern policies. Conversely, Nawrocki focuses on strengthening Polish sovereignty, resisting additional powers to the EU, and promoting traditional values. The two candidates notably diverge on issues involving the EU’s influence, with Trzaskowski advocating a collaborative Europe while Nawrocki maintains a nationalistic stance.

As both candidates continue advocating for Ukraine's support against Russian aggression, their approaches to EU relations starkly contrast; Trzaskowski favors deeper integration, while Nawrocki advises reluctance towards NATO and EU membership for Ukraine under current circumstances.

Throughout the campaign, Nawrocki faced scrutiny over past controversies and personal conduct, yet he remains supported by voters who overlook these narratives as media fabrications. While both candidates draw significant support, the election’s outcome remains uncertain as final tallies unfold, setting the stage for a potentially transformative period in Poland’s political landscape.

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