China Aims for 5% Economic Growth Amid U.S. Trade Woes

Wed Mar 12 2025 21:33:38 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
China Aims for 5% Economic Growth Amid U.S. Trade Woes

China sets a 5% growth target and unveils stimulus plans as it faces U.S. tariffs and economic challenges.


The nation is betting on increased domestic consumption and infrastructure spending to counteract the impact of escalating tariffs.

China has officially set a target for economic growth this year at "around 5%," aiming to inject billions into its struggling economy, particularly as it navigates the complexities of a trade war with the United States. The announcement came during the ongoing National People's Congress, a parliamentary session known for ratifying decisions made beforehand but closely scrutinized for insights into future policy shifts.

This year’s gathering holds heightened significance as President Xi Jinping confronts continuously low consumer spending, a property market crisis, and rising unemployment, all exacerbated by the recent imposition of U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports. The initial 10% tariff begun in early February has now escalated, further straining what has been a bright spot for China's economy: its export market.

In retaliation to the tariffs, China quickly announced new trade measures, including a 10%-15% levy on select agricultural products from the U.S. This is particularly impactful as China stands as the largest market for U.S. commodities such as corn, wheat, and soybeans.

During the opening of the "Two Sessions" meeting, Premier Li Qiang highlighted the need to transform domestic demand into the primary driver of economic growth. Previous years saw China meet its 5% growth goals mainly due to high export levels, leading to a record trade surplus. However, analysts warn that maintaining such a pace under the existing tariff regime could be formidable, with predictions of U.S. exports potentially dropping by a third.

The government has already initiated various schemes to boost consumption, which includes encouraging citizens to upgrade consumer goods. This approach aims to reduce reliance on exports and drive domestic spending.

As part of its stimulus strategy, China plans to issue about 1.3 trillion yuan ($179 billion) in special treasury bonds, while local governments will also see an increase in their borrowing capacity. In an atypical move, the government raised its fiscal deficit to 4% of GDP, marking a significant shift in its approach to fiscal policy amid economic pressures.

Additionally, plans to create over 12 million urban jobs and specific support for high-tech industries form part of the broader strategy. However, skepticism prevails regarding whether these efforts can adequately stimulate consumption, as lingering pessimism and a fragile social safety net raise concerns among the populace.

Experts stress that investment in "high-quality development," focused on sectors like renewable energy and artificial intelligence, will be crucial for the future. With the U.S. tariff measures posing a substantial threat to both export levels and investor confidence in China, the nation is under pressure to adapt rapidly to changing global dynamics.

Recently, China announced an increase of 7.2% in its national defense budget, maintaining the same growth trajectory as the previous year, signifying ongoing investments despite economic challenges.

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